Is the Brexiteer’s Solution the Irish Border feasible?
We are back again with a new instalment based upon the European
Research Group’s proposal on solving the issue surrounding the Irish Border.
What is important to establish initially is that Brexiteers do not see the
Irish Border as a problem that requires a solution - so sorry if I misled you in the title of the Blog. Their statement states the only
action required along the border is ‘modifying existing arrangements’. There
are many reasons why I believe that is far from feasible.
Firstly, if anyone has read the Good Friday Agreement, they
will know that regulatory alignment is mandatory when discussing the Irish
Border and anything that deviates from that will likely cause the collapse of
the socially and politically invaluable agreement. The modifications of existing
agreements, as wishful as it sounds, is inconceivable with the proposals put
forward just a few days prior. The idea that the UK can remove itself from a
common rule book yet have frictionless trade is dream like if nothing else and
the EU has been clear to a t that that scenario will not happen. Furthermore, modifications
could never be made to the Good Friday Agreement to specify specific goods or services
restricted across the border as any modification made could be seen as an
attempt for renegotiation and if the British people have learnt anything from
the last two years, it is that the government negotiating is not it’s strong
suit.
Secondly, I strongly dislike when political organisations or
ministries suggest that a technological solution will solve all problems
regarding a specific issue. Initially, when the government discussed maximum
facilitation, a technological solution was discussed that would measure the
value of trade crossing the border to the exact amount so that the UK could
hand the correct value in tariffs directly to the EU. However, as British
citizens, we know how quickly a technological solution can turn into a
catastrophe – I am of course referring to the NHS transition back in 2013 when
a new tech solution ended up increasing delays significantly, increasing costs,
losing patient records and the delayal of emergency procedures. A new
government audit report recommended the government becomes less fanciful
regarding the potential of technological solutions and cites the extraordinary
increase in costs incurred by the MoD just a few years ago. So, when we are so
close to Withdrawal Day, I see the proposal of a technological solution to the
Irish Border becoming less and less likely and the chances of this solution
being successful just as unlikely.
Now whilst the ERG has merely been critiquing the Government’s
proposals towards Brexit for the past year, it represents a sigh of relief that
the new report suggesting a techological solution and minor modifications to
the relationship of the two Irish nations is fanciful to put it one way. No doubt
the proposals are approved by many but the EU dismissed the proposals
immediately and many others agreed. The plan has been dubbed ‘an unworkable
distraction’ and I agree with this statement. The plan is immature frankly as
it fails to take into account the context of the situation whereby frictionless
trade on the island is vital to the Northern Ireland economy and that the DUP
will not support a border across the Irish Sea. One can dream as much as they
like but these plans are just a distraction to create the perception that the
ERG are providing suitable alternatives to the Chequers Plan however, that is
far from true. Whilst the ERG may have garnered support for their sentiments
today, their ideas are unsuitable and inadequate and show a lack of awareness
of the Irish political system.
So whilst I may have gone on a slight tangent/rant to the
title of this blog post I felt it was important to not exactly address the question
but rather discuss the flawed aspects. This, I hope, will provide my clear opinion
that the proposal put forward on Thursday13th September is nothing
but fanciful work put forward by a group demanding suitable solutions that it
does not have solutions for.
If you have managed to get this far, thank you so much and I
hope you enjoyed this post. If you like this post, please let me know and I can
make more similar to this :)
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If you have any comments or disagreements with anything said above feel free to let more know :)